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Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

100% implied probability — Under leads

Resolution date: July 3, 2026 at 8:30 AM UTC

Event cluster: ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova

Topic: Games

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $7.7K

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Arifullina and Yelyzaveta Chainykova in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Related markets from this event:

  • ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova
  • Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Match O/U 21.5
  • Set Handicap: Arifullina (-1.5) vs Chainykova (+1.5)
  • Set 2 Winner: Arifullina vs Chainykova
  • Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 8:59 PM UTC

Back to markets

Source

supabase-shell

Last refreshed

Jun 28, 2026, 8:59 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Market read · polling·Sports
Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

The crowd puts Under total at 99.95% · updated 9h ago · fair book

Lead probability
99.95%
Under total
41/100Fair

Probability tape

Probability over time

Polling
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$3.1KThin
Freshness9h agoStale
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$7.7Kbook depth
updated 9h agoresolves Jul 3, 2026methodologyNear median for Sports markets
What moved this marketrecent signals

Official schedule window and game-status watch

Schedule

Event cluster

Related markets

6
ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova$39

100%
Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Match O/U 21.5

Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Match O/U 21.5

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova$4

100%
Set Handicap: Arifullina (-1.5) vs Chainykova (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Arifullina (-1.5) vs Chainykova (+1.5)

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova$2

100%
Set 2 Winner: Arifullina vs Chainykova

Set 2 Winner: Arifullina vs Chainykova

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova$0

100%
Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova$0

99.95%
Set 1 Winner: Arifullina vs Chainykova

Set 1 Winner: Arifullina vs Chainykova

ITF Monastir: Arina Arifullina vs Yelyzaveta Chainykova$0

100%

Outcome book

Best quotes

Top 2

Over

0.05¢

Under

99.95¢

View on Polymarket

Trade

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Research brief

About this market

low confidence

Arifullina vs. Chainykova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 The lead outcome is Under total at 100%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 7/3/2026, 8:30:00 AM.

1 sourcesUpdated 1d ago

Resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Arifullina and Yelyzaveta Chainykova in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Watch next

Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 7/3/2026, 8:30:00 AM.

Jul 3, 2026

Key uncertainty

No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases, catalysts

Edge cases

  • This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Arifullina and Yelyzaveta Chainykova in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET.
  • This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10.
  • If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent catalysts

  • Official schedule window and game-status watch — Schedule