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Set Handicap: Weightman (-1.5) vs Hernandez (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Weightman (-1.5) vs Hernandez (+1.5)

100% implied probability — Weightman leads

Resolution date: July 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez

Topic: Culture

24-hour volume: $5

Total liquidity: $8.6K

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Weightman and Carles Hernandez in the ITF Bakio, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weightman" if Oscar Weightman wins by 2 or more sets than Carles Hernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hernandez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Related markets from this event:

  • Weightman vs. Hernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
  • Set 2 Winner: Weightman vs Hernandez
  • Set 1 Winner: Weightman vs Hernandez
  • Oscar Weightman vs. Carles Hernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
  • Weightman vs. Hernandez: Match O/U 21.5

Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 9:00 PM UTC

Back to markets

Source

supabase-shell

Last refreshed

Jun 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Market read · polling·Sports
Set Handicap: Weightman (-1.5) vs Hernandez (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Weightman (-1.5) vs Hernandez (+1.5)

The crowd puts Weightman at 99.95% · updated 56h ago · fair book

Lead probability
99.95%
Weightman
41/100Fair

Probability tape

Probability over time

Polling
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$3.4KThin
Freshness56h agoStale
24h volume$5matched
Liquidity$8.6Kbook depth
updated 56h agoresolves Jul 1, 2026methodologyNear median for Sports markets
What moved this marketrecent signals

Official schedule window and game-status watch

Schedule

Event cluster

Related markets

6
Weightman vs. Hernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Weightman vs. Hernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez$15

99.95%
Set 2 Winner: Weightman vs Hernandez

Set 2 Winner: Weightman vs Hernandez

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez$5

99.95%
Set 1 Winner: Weightman vs Hernandez

Set 1 Winner: Weightman vs Hernandez

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez$0

99.95%
Oscar Weightman vs. Carles Hernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Oscar Weightman vs. Carles Hernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez$0

99.95%
Weightman vs. Hernandez: Match O/U 21.5

Weightman vs. Hernandez: Match O/U 21.5

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez$0

99.95%
Weightman vs. Hernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Weightman vs. Hernandez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Carles Hernandez$0

99.95%

Outcome book

Best quotes

Top 2

Weightman

99.95¢

Hernandez

0.05¢

View on Polymarket

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Research brief

About this market

low confidence

Set Handicap: Weightman (-1.5) vs Hernandez (+1.5) The lead outcome is Weightman at 100%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 7/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM.

1 sourcesUpdated 1d ago

Resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Weightman and Carles Hernandez in the ITF Bakio, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weightman" if Oscar Weightman wins by 2 or more sets than Carles Hernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hernandez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Watch next

Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 7/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM.

Jul 1, 2026

Key uncertainty

No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases, catalysts

Edge cases

  • This market will resolve to "Weightman" if Oscar Weightman wins by 2 or more sets than Carles Hernandez, based on the final completed score.
  • Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hernandez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Recent catalysts

  • Official schedule window and game-status watch — Schedule