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Basilashvili vs. Ymer: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Basilashvili vs. Ymer: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

100% implied probability — Under leads

Resolution date: June 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Event cluster: Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymer

Topic: Games

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $9.2K

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Elias Ymer in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 8:46 PM UTC

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Source

supabase-shell

Last refreshed

Jun 28, 2026, 8:46 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Market read · polling·Sports

Basilashvili vs. Ymer: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

The crowd puts Under total at 99.95% · updated 151h ago · fair book

Lead probability
99.95%
Under total
41/100Fair

Probability tape

Probability over time

Polling
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$3.7KThin
Freshness151h agoStale
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$9.2Kbook depth
updated 151h agoresolves Jun 29, 2026methodologyNear median for Sports markets
What moved this marketrecent signals

Stable — no confidently-matched movers in 24h

Watching resolution timing

Outcome book

Best quotes

Top 2

Over

0.05¢

Under

99.95¢

View on Polymarket

Trade

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Research brief

About this market

low confidence

Basilashvili vs. Ymer: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 The lead outcome is Under total at 100%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 6/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM.

1 sourcesUpdated 1d ago

Resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Elias Ymer in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Watch next

Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 6/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM.

Jun 29, 2026

Key uncertainty

No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases

Edge cases

  • This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Elias Ymer in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.
  • This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11.
  • If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.