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1st 5 Innings Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)
100% implied probability — Baltimore Orioles leads
Resolution date: June 21, 2026 at 8:10 PM UTC
Event cluster: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Topic: baseball
24-hour volume: $10
Total liquidity: $2.5K
Resolution criteria: In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for June 21 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 8:49 PM UTC
Source
supabase-shell
Last refreshed
Jun 28, 2026, 8:49 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
The crowd puts Baltimore Orioles at 99.95%updated 167h agofair book
Stable — no confidently-matched movers in 24h
Outcome book
Baltimore Orioles
99.95¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
0.05¢
Trade
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Research brief
1st 5 Innings Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) The lead outcome is Baltimore Orioles at 100%. The market has moved higher by 50.0¢ over the last 24 hours even though no high-confidence external driver has been matched yet. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 6/21/2026, 8:10:00 PM.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for June 21 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 6/21/2026, 8:10:00 PM.
Jun 21, 2026No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.