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Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Malaszszak

Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Malaszszak

100% implied probability — Kudernatsch leads

Resolution date: June 26, 2026 at 4:15 PM UTC

Event cluster: ITF Saarlouis: Moritz Kudernatsch vs Markus Malaszszak

Topic: Games

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $4.9K

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Kudernatsch and Markus Malaszszak in the ITF Saarlouis, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 12:15PM ET. This market will resolve to “Kudernatsch” if Moritz Kudernatsch wins set 2. It will resolve to “Malaszszak” if Markus Malaszszak wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 9:24 PM UTC

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Source

supabase-shell

Last refreshed

Jun 28, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Market read · polling·SportsAwaiting resolution
Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Malaszszak

Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Malaszszak

The crowd puts Kudernatsch at 99.95% · updated 218h ago · fair book

Lead probability
99.95%
Kudernatsch
40/100Fair

Probability tape

Probability over time

Polling
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$2.0KThin
Freshness218h agoStale
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$4.9Kbook depth
updated 218h agoresolves Jun 26, 2026methodologyNear median for Sports markets
What moved this marketrecent signals

Stable — no confidently-matched movers in 24h

Watching resolution timing

Outcome book

Best quotes

Top 2

Kudernatsch

99.95¢

Malaszszak

0.05¢

View on Polymarket

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Research brief

About this market

low confidence

Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Malaszszak The lead outcome is Kudernatsch at 100%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 6/26/2026, 4:15:00 PM.

1 sourcesUpdated 1d ago

Resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Kudernatsch and Markus Malaszszak in the ITF Saarlouis, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 12:15PM ET. This market will resolve to “Kudernatsch” if Moritz Kudernatsch wins set 2. It will resolve to “Malaszszak” if Markus Malaszszak wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Watch next

Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 6/26/2026, 4:15:00 PM.

Jun 26, 2026

Key uncertainty

No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases

Edge cases

  • This market will resolve to “Kudernatsch” if Moritz Kudernatsch wins set 2.
  • It will resolve to “Malaszszak” if Markus Malaszszak wins set 2.
  • If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.