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Will Marcus Rashford join Chelsea?
56% implied probability — No leads
Resolution date: September 2, 2026 at 3:59 AM UTC
Event cluster: Where will Marcus Rashford transfer?
Topic: Soccer
24-hour volume: $0
Total liquidity: $7
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Rashford officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United". If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 9:24 PM UTC
Source
supabase-shell
Last refreshed
Jun 28, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
The crowd puts No at 56.4%updated 13m agopoor book
Stable — no confidently-matched movers in 24h
Outcome book
Yes
43.6¢
No
56.4¢
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Research brief
Will Marcus Rashford join Chelsea? The lead outcome is No at 56%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 9/2/2026, 3:59:00 AM.
This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Rashford officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United". If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 9/2/2026, 3:59:00 AM.
Sep 2, 2026No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.