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Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?

Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?

5% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

Event cluster: OK-03 Republican Primary Winner

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $321

Total liquidity: $1.2K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Last refreshed: July 2, 2026 at 4:58 AM UTC

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PoliticsLive oddsResolves Nov 3, 2026
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?

Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?

5%
chanceUnlikely
▲Yes5.35¢
▼No94.65¢

Probability over time

Polling24h +4.8%
ActiveUp 5 pts in 24h

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U. S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If…

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Bet Yes5.35¢Bet No94.65¢
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Quality20/100Poor
Spread10.1%Wide
Depth ±2%$496Thin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$321matched
Liquidity$1.2Kbook depth