How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on May 25, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill? (May 25, 2026)

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Final answerResolved May 25, 2026

A close one — the market was only 51% confident in No at the close.

“Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?” resolved No on May 25, 2026, after $10 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs event family.

ResolvedMay 25, 2026

Volume$10

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 49.0¢ALL-2.0%

Yes49.0¢No51.0¢

Last observed Yes

49% (49¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$398.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now17.5%-1.0%$372.1KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now38.5%-16.0%$278.0KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 25, 2026No settlement with $10 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

4 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50% (50¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle50% (50¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle49% (49¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price49% (49¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty51%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

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