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Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

1% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: August 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $1.1K

Total liquidity: $9.4K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Last refreshed: July 12, 2026 at 4:19 AM UTC

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SportsLive oddsResolves Aug 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

24h Vol$1.1KLiquidity$9.4KSpread0.4%
1%
chanceVery unlikely
5M0.0%1H—24H-0.1%7D-0.7%

Probability over time

Polling24h -0.1%
Quiet$1.1K traded today

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on th…

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Trade this market

Live book
Est. shares≈ 3,125
If Yes wins$3,125.00 +12,400%

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Quality40/100Fair
Spread0.4%Tight
Depth ±2%$3.8KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$1.1Kmatched
Liquidity$9.4Kbook depth