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Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

7% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: August 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $910

Total liquidity: $5.1K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Last refreshed: July 12, 2026 at 4:19 AM UTC

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SportsLive oddsResolves Aug 1, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

24h Vol$910Liquidity$5.1KSpread0.9%
7%
chanceUnlikely
5M—1H—24H+3.5%7D+0.9%

Probability over time

Polling24h +3.5%
ActiveUp 4 pts in 24h

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on th…

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Live book
Est. shares≈ 381
If Yes wins$381.68 +1,427%

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Quality39/100Poor
Spread0.9%Tight
Depth ±2%$2.1KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$910matched
Liquidity$5.1Kbook depth