How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on May 27, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner (May 27, 2026)

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Final answerResolved May 27, 2026

A close one — the market was only 42.5% confident in No at the close.

“LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner” resolved No on May 27, 2026, after $998.5K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 event family.

ResolvedMay 27, 2026

Volume$998.5K

Archive coverageCurve + book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 57.5¢ALL+0.0%

Yes57.5¢No42.5¢

Last observed Yes

57.5% (57.5¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$344.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now37%-9.0%$338.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now79.5%+1.0%$170.3KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 11, 2026

The crowd established an absolute consensus immediately prior to the closing of the market, resulting in a firm resolution of Yes. The prediction market covered the Game 1 winner. This esports competition featured Gen.G against Hanwha Life Esports playing in a Best of 3 series during the LCK Rounds 1-2 tournament. The matchup took place in League of Legends. Although the database did not preserve a complete price path for this market, the final settlement record remains firm. Total volume reached exactly 998493.07 dollars. The contract officially resolved on May 27, 2026, at 11:13:55 to conclude all trading activity. The timestamp uses UTC alignment. The closing documentation confirmed this resolution with exactly 998.5K dollars traded before the close.

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 27, 2026No settlement with $998.5K traded before close.

Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $49.0K closing liquidity.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

$49.0KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.

Curve

3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 27, 2026 at 11:10 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price57.5% (57.5¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle57.5% (57.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle57.5% (57.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price57.5% (57.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty57.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing liquidity$49.0KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

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