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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved May 25, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino·#2337640

Flavio Cobolli vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 4.5

No
Final answerResolved May 25, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.5% confident in No just before settlement.

“Flavio Cobolli vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 4.5” resolved No on May 25, 2026, after $267 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino event family.

ResolvedMay 25, 2026
Volume$267
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Flavio Cobolli vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 4.5
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.5% (0.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 0.5¢ALL-99.0%
0¢14¢28¢41¢55¢5/235/235/245/245/245/255/255/255/25Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.5% (0.5¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.15%+0.3%$300.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now78.5%-7.0%$270.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now21.65%-7.5%$249.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
May 25, 2026No settlement with $267 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.5¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
50 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.5¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
11 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle26% (26¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.5% (0.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.5% (0.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score26 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.5¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

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Browse the full resolved archive