How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on May 26, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier (May 26, 2026)

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier

Yes

Final answerResolved May 26, 2026

The crowd called it — 65.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier” resolved Yes on May 26, 2026, after $2.0M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMay 26, 2026

Volume$2.0M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 65.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 35-point move.

Yes 65.5¢ALL-13.2%

Last observed Yes

65.5% (65.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-3.0%$834.1KTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now97.05%+75.5%$529.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Trending now11.75%-3.8%$224.7KTrade on Polyguana →

Venues

Polymarket and Kalshi coverage

Polymarket remains the settlement source for this page. Kalshi appears here only where Vanga has a high-confidence comparable market.

Best venuePolymarket

Spread-50.0 pp

Coverage2 venues

SnapshotMay 27, 2026

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

-50.0 pp

Polymarket100% (100¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-AUG50% (50¢)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

-50.0 pp

Polymarket100% (100¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-AUG50% (50¢)

Daniel Altmaier

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

+50.0 pp

Polymarket0% (0¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-ALT50% (50¢)

Daniel Altmaier

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

+50.0 pp

Polymarket0% (0¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-ALT50% (50¢)

Context

Schedule and result context

Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 11, 2026

On May 26, 2026, the prediction market for the Roland Garros ATP match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Daniel Altmaier settled. The contract allowed active participants to predict the outcome of this specific matchup between these two players. The database registered the question as Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier. This database question matched the event name of the contest exactly. The official resolution of the prediction market occurred at 23:17:40 UTC. The resolution timestamp uses the UTC offset. A full price path showing the historical trading values of the contract was not preserved in the records. The final settlement record remains completely firm despite the missing historical price path information. The final settlement detail resolved No with $2.0M traded before settlement.

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 26, 2026Yes settlement with $2.0M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

19 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price75.5% (75.5¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle74.5% (74.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

Last observed price65.5% (65.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty65.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score9 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 65.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 35-point move.

Yes 65.5¢ALL-13.2%

Last observed Yes

65.5% (65.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Venues

Polymarket and Kalshi coverage

Polymarket remains the settlement source for this page. Kalshi appears here only where Vanga has a high-confidence comparable market.

Best venuePolymarket

Spread-50.0 pp

Coverage2 venues

SnapshotMay 27, 2026

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

-50.0 pp

Polymarket100% (100¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-AUG50% (50¢)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

-50.0 pp

Polymarket100% (100¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-AUG50% (50¢)

Daniel Altmaier

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

+50.0 pp

Polymarket0% (0¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-ALT50% (50¢)

Daniel Altmaier

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

+50.0 pp

Polymarket0% (0¢)Kalshi KXATPMATCH-26MAY25AUGALT-ALT50% (50¢)

Context

Schedule and result context

Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 11, 2026

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 26, 2026Yes settlement with $2.0M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

19 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price75.5% (75.5¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle74.5% (74.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

Last observed price65.5% (65.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty65.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score9 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive