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Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

40% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM UTC

Event cluster: Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $186

Total liquidity: $11.7K

Resolution criteria: The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Last refreshed: July 5, 2026 at 6:09 AM UTC

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PoliticsLive oddsResolves Mar 31, 2027
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

40%
chanceLong shot
▲Yes39.5¢
▼No60.5¢

Probability over time

Polling
No price history available yet
Quiet$186 traded today

How this resolves

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected…

Resolves Mar 31, 2027

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Bet Yes39.5¢Bet No60.5¢
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Quality39/100Poor
Spread1.0%Moderate
Depth ±2%$4.7KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$186matched
Liquidity$11.7Kbook depth