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Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

0% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: October 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Next Premier of Quebec

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $19.9K

Resolution criteria: The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Last refreshed: July 2, 2026 at 4:58 AM UTC

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PoliticsLive oddsResolves Oct 5, 2026
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

0%
chanceVery unlikely
▲Yes0.25¢
▼No99.75¢

Probability over time

Polling
Quiet$19.9K in the order book

How this resolves

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appo…

Resolves Oct 5, 2026

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Bet Yes0.25¢Bet No99.75¢
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Quality42/100Fair
Spread0.3%Tight
Depth ±2%$8.0KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$19.9Kbook depth