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Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

6% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: August 14, 2028 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Republican VP Nominee 2028

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $120

Total liquidity: $38.1K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Last refreshed: July 2, 2026 at 4:58 AM UTC

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PoliticsLive oddsResolves Aug 14, 2028
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

6%
chanceUnlikely
▲Yes6¢
▼No94¢

Probability over time

Polling
Quiet$120 traded today

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of of…

Resolves Aug 14, 2028

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Bet Yes6¢Bet No94¢
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Quality41/100Fair
Spread2.0%Moderate
Depth ±2%$15.2KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$120matched
Liquidity$38.1Kbook depth