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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET

100% implied probability — Down leads

Resolution date: March 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET

Topic: Crypto

24-hour volume: $123.5K

Total liquidity: $986.4K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Settlement source: Resolution source

Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:38 AM UTC

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Rankings/Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET

Updated Just now

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET

Resolves Mar 18, 2026 · Settles from binance.com

CryptoAwaiting resolutionRecurringUp or Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET
Awaiting resolutionOpen on Polymarket

Probability trend

100%

Down+97.9%

Updated Just now

100.0¢-99.9%
0¢9¢18¢27¢36¢3/183/183/183/183/183/193/19

Why it moved

No high-confidence catalyst has been matched to the latest move yet.

Place order

Checking trading access

Checking accessOpen on Polymarket

Locked order ticket

Checking trading access

Profile sign-in is still being checked for this deployment.

Checking access
Order size

0.00

Live quote

0.05¢

Current state

Down

Awaiting

100%

24h move

+97.9%

Spread

0.1%

Liquidity

$986.4K

Volume 24h

$123.5K

Resolves

Mar 18, 2026

Awaiting resolution

1d ago

Market depth

Orderbook snapshot

Best bid

0¢

Best ask

0.1¢

Depth @ 2%

$394.5K

Data age

7m

Resolution

Mar 18, 2026

1d ago
Official sourcebinance.com
Source stateMarket hours and filings
Resolverbinance.com

Source cadence

binance.com

Open

Cadence

Market hours and filings

Last refresh

Just now

Coverage

0 linked items

News and catalysts

Official, filing, schedule, and reporting items that map to the latest pricing context.

No relevant official news found yet

No context items passed the relevance and dedupe thresholds for this market.

Why this matters now

  • The market is moving materially today, with a…
  • External reporting has not been confidently matched yet,…

Watch next

  • Resolution timingMar 18, 23:00 UTC
  • Filings and benchmark printsMar 18, 23:00 UTC

Resolution snapshot

This market will resolve to "Up"…

Official sourcebinance.com
Source stateMarket hours and filings
Resolverbinance.com

Source

Polymarket CLOB API

Last refreshed

March 19, 2026 at 12:38 AM UTC

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

binance.com

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision