Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET
100% implied probability — Up leads
Resolution date: March 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC
Event cluster: Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET
Topic: Crypto
24-hour volume: $140.0K
Total liquidity: $0
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET resolved Up at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Mar 18, 2026. Part of Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET. $140.1K total volume traded.
100¢
Archived metadata only

Outcome
Up
Mar 18, 2026
Final
100¢
100%
Archive price path
Mar 18, 2026 to Mar 19, 2026
Start
71.5¢
End
99.95¢
7d Range
62.5¢ to 99.95¢
Archive overview
Outcome
Up
Total volume
$140.1K
Liquidity
$0
Resolved
Mar 18, 2026
Settlement logic
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source
Polymarket market archive
Last refreshed
March 19, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision