Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 18?

100% implied probability — No leads

Resolution date: March 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: Highest temperature in Madrid on March 18?

Topic: Weather

24-hour volume: $3.4K

Total liquidity: $27.0K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC