XRP Up or Down on March 18?
100% implied probability — Down leads
Resolution date: March 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC
Event cluster: XRP Up or Down on March 18?
Topic: Crypto
24-hour volume: $2.8K
Total liquidity: $0
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Mar 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Mar 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC
XRP Up or Down on March 18? resolved Down at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Mar 18, 2026. Part of XRP Up or Down on March 18?. $4.2K total volume traded.
100¢
Archived metadata only

Outcome
Down
Mar 18, 2026
Final
100¢
100%
Archive price path
Mar 16, 2026 to Mar 18, 2026
Start
50¢
End
0.05¢
7d Range
0.05¢ to 69.5¢
Archive overview
Outcome
Down
Total volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$0
Resolved
Mar 18, 2026
Settlement logic
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Mar 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Mar 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source
Polymarket market archive
Last refreshed
March 19, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision