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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 4°C or below on March 19?

100% implied probability — No leads

Resolution date: March 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 19?

Topic: Weather

24-hour volume: $2.8K

Total liquidity: $0

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related markets from this event:

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?
  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 19?
  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?
  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 19?
  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 19?

Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:32 AM UTC

Resolved archiveWeatherMarket #1596683

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 4°C or below on March 19?

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 4°C or below on March 19? resolved No at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Mar 19, 2026. Part of Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 19?. $7.2K total volume traded.

Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 19?Open resolved archive page
Winning outcome
No
Final price
100%

100¢

Settled
Mar 19, 2026

Archived metadata only

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 4°C or below on March 19? market image
Resolved on Polymarket

Outcome

No

Mar 19, 2026

Final

100¢

100%

Archive price path

Settlement moved from 0.05¢ to 0.05¢

Mar 18, 2026 to Mar 18, 2026

0.0%
0.77¢3¢0¢

Start

0.05¢

End

0.05¢

7d Range

0.05¢ to 0.05¢

Archive overview

Outcome

No

Total volume

$7.2K

Liquidity

$0

Resolved

Mar 19, 2026

Settlement logic

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Same event markets

Related contracts from the same event

Open event cluster

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 19?

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 19?

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 19?

Source

Polymarket market archive

Last refreshed

March 19, 2026 at 12:32 AM UTC

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision