Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?

55% implied probability — Yes leads

Resolution date: March 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: Highest temperature in Wellington on March 19?

Topic: Weather

24-hour volume: $3.0K

Total liquidity: $417

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC