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Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?

Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?

91% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

Event cluster: TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $36

Total liquidity: $20.0K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Last refreshed: July 2, 2026 at 4:17 AM UTC

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PoliticsLive oddsResolves Nov 3, 2026
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?

Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?

91%
chanceLikely
▲Yes90.5¢
▼No9.5¢

Probability over time

Polling24h +1.0%
QuietUp 1 pt in 24h

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U. S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If…

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Bet Yes90.5¢Bet No9.5¢
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Quality40/100Fair
Spread1.0%Moderate
Depth ±2%$8.0KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$36matched
Liquidity$20.0Kbook depth