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Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-18?

98% implied probability — Yes leads

Resolution date: March 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino

Topic: Soccer

24-hour volume: $192.9K

Total liquidity: $330.2K

Resolution criteria: In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 18, 2026 If EC Bahia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Settlement source: Resolution source

Related markets from this event:

  • Will EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
  • Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-18?

Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:40 AM UTC

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Rankings/EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino

Updated Just now

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-18?

EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino · Resolves Mar 18, 2026 · Settles from cbf.com.br

SportsAwaiting resolutionSoccerGames
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

vs
R

Red Bull Bragantino

Awaiting resolutionOpen on Polymarket

Probability trend

98.45%

Yes+99.9%

Updated Just now

98.5¢+99.9%
52¢64¢76¢88¢100¢3/183/183/183/183/183/183/19

Why it moved

No high-confidence catalyst has been matched to the latest move yet.

Place order

Checking trading access

Checking accessOpen on Polymarket

Locked order ticket

Checking trading access

Profile sign-in is still being checked for this deployment.

Checking access
Order size

0.00

Live quote

98.45¢

Current state

Yes

Awaiting

98.45%

24h move

+99.9%

Spread

0.1%

Liquidity

$330.2K

Volume 24h

$192.9K

Resolves

Mar 18, 2026

Awaiting resolution

1d ago

Market depth

Orderbook snapshot

Best bid

99.9¢

Best ask

100¢

Depth @ 2%

$132.1K

Data age

3m

Resolution

Mar 18, 2026

1d ago
Official sourcecbf.com.br
Source stateFast near game time
Resolvercbf.com.br

Source cadence

cbf.com.br

Open

Cadence

Fast near game time

Last refresh

Just now

Coverage

0 linked items

News and catalysts

Official, filing, schedule, and reporting items that map to the latest pricing context.

No relevant official news found yet

No context items passed the relevance and dedupe thresholds for this market.

Why this matters now

  • The market is moving materially today, with a…
  • External reporting has not been confidently matched yet,…

Watch next

  • Resolution timingMar 18, 22:00 UTC

Resolution snapshot

In the upcoming game, scheduled for…

Official sourcecbf.com.br
Source stateFast near game time
Resolvercbf.com.br

Source

Polymarket CLOB API

Last refreshed

March 19, 2026 at 12:40 AM UTC

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

cbf.com.br

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision