How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Feb 21, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia (Feb 21, 2026)

Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia

Yes

Final answerResolved Feb 21, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia” resolved Yes on Feb 21, 2026, after $3.2M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedFeb 21, 2026

Volume$3.2M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $3.2M traded before close.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+12.9%

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.15%-<0.1%$997.2KTrade on Polyguana →Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$844.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now81.5%-3.0%$619.0KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Feb 21, 2026Yes settlement with $3.2M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

8 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price88.5% (88.5¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle88.5% (88.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score11 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive