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Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
86% implied probability — No leads
Resolution date: November 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
Event cluster: MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
Topic: baseball
24-hour volume: $0
Total liquidity: $176
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 8:49 PM UTC
Source
supabase-shell
Last refreshed
Jun 28, 2026, 8:49 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
The crowd puts No at 86.05%updated 12m agopoor book
Stable — no confidently-matched movers in 24h
Outcome book
Yes
13.95¢
No
86.05¢
Trade
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Research brief
Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? The lead outcome is No at 86%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 11/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 11/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
Nov 13, 2026No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.