How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Feb 16, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: SOLV Energy IPO Closing Market Cap.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Official finance reference is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? (Feb 16, 2026)

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Yes

Final answerResolved Feb 16, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?” resolved Yes on Feb 16, 2026, after $3.3M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the SOLV Energy IPO Closing Market Cap event family.

ResolvedFeb 16, 2026

Volume$3.3M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

No-to-Yes turn

The market sat near 2.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 98-point move.

No-to-Yes turn

Yes fell to 2.5% before the market settled Yes at 100%, a 98-point reversal.

Lowest Yes

2.5% (2.5¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

98 pts

Yes probability

Yes 100.0¢ALL+127.2%

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · FinanceThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

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Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Official finance referencesource linked

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Open filing source

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Official finance referenceOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Resolved

Feb 16, 2026Yes settlement with $3.3M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

97 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price44% (44¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Public contextOfficial finance referenceObservedOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.Open filing source

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive

Movement

No-to-Yes turn

The market sat near 2.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 98-point move.

No-to-Yes turn

Yes fell to 2.5% before the market settled Yes at 100%, a 98-point reversal.

Lowest Yes

2.5% (2.5¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

98 pts

Yes probability

Yes 100.0¢ALL+127.2%

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · FinanceThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Official finance referencesource linked

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Open filing source

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Official finance referenceOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Resolved

Feb 16, 2026Yes settlement with $3.3M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

97 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price44% (44¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Public contextOfficial finance referenceObservedOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.Open filing source

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive