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Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

100% implied probability — Yes leads

Resolution date: March 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

Topic: Finance

24-hour volume: $11.6K

Total liquidity: $0

Resolution criteria: The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Miran votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Last refreshed: March 19, 2026 at 12:19 AM UTC

Resolved archiveFinanceMarket #1293515

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision? resolved Yes at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Mar 18, 2026. Part of Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?. $47.8K total volume traded.

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?Open resolved archive page
Winning outcome
Yes
Final price
100%

100¢

Settled
Mar 18, 2026

Archived metadata only

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision? market image
Resolved on Polymarket

Outcome

Yes

Mar 18, 2026

Final

100¢

100%

Archive price path

Settlement moved from 95.9¢ to 99.95¢

Mar 15, 2026 to Mar 18, 2026

+4.1%
100¢93.84¢87.69¢

Start

95.9¢

End

99.95¢

7d Range

89¢ to 99.95¢

Archive overview

Outcome

Yes

Total volume

$47.8K

Liquidity

$0

Resolved

Mar 18, 2026

Settlement logic

Resolution criteria

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Miran votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Source

Polymarket market archive

Last refreshed

March 19, 2026 at 12:19 AM UTC

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision