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Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?

88% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: FL-08 House Election Winner

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $14.1K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Last refreshed: July 2, 2026 at 4:58 AM UTC

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PoliticsLive oddsResolves Nov 3, 2026
W

Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?

88%
chanceLikely
▲Yes87.5¢
▼No12.5¢

Probability over time

Polling
Quiet$14.1K in the order book

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U. S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined…

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Do you want to bet?

Bet Yes87.5¢Bet No12.5¢
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Quality40/100Fair
Spread1.0%Moderate
Depth ±2%$5.6KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$14.1Kbook depth