Movement
How opinion moved into resolution
A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $3.0M traded before close.
Last observed Yes
0.05% (0.05¢)
Settled result
No
How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.
Context
Headline and statement context
The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.
Official National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.
Open official resultsThe archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
February 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive
