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英語の原文マーケット詳細
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Livebook updated 1d agoFed RatesEconomyfomc

Fed Decision in October?

This cluster groups 5 linked contracts. The most contested right now is Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?, with No pricing 89.5%.

Lead conviction
90%+2.5%
No · most contested contract
Open interest
$212.6K
5 linked contracts
24h flow
$2.8K
across the cluster
Turnover
0.01×
mostly parked
Resolves
Oct 28, 2026
shared event window
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Lead contract chart

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Probability history

No 89.5¢24H+3.5%
84¢86¢88¢90¢92¢21:1501:2504:3006:4508:0009:1521:10

Contracts inside this event

Every linked contract, ranked lead-first by tradable strength — compare the book before you commit.

Lead contractWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
89.5% No+2.5%OI$58.5K24h$2.5Kopen →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
71% Yes+0.5%OI$23.0K24h$153open →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
84.5% No-1.0%OI$18.5K24h$139open →
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
98.5% NoFlatOI$54.3K24h$25open →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
98.65% NoFlatOI$56.7K24h$0open →

Keep moving

Geopolitics
World Cup WinnerWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? leads this event, with Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? as the next contract to compare.
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? leads this event, with Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential… as the next contract to compare.
Wimbledon
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevThe lead contract is pricing Sinner at 100% on Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev, after a 41% move over the last 24 hours.
Topic lane
PoliticsPolitics events are easiest to read when the cluster stays intact. Start here to compare election, nomination, White House, Congress, and policy storylines before picking one market.
Topic lane
Election oddsThis hub narrows politics down to election-driven clusters, so readers who already know the narrative they care about can reach the tradable markets faster.
Topic lane
GeopoliticsGeopolitics markets get noisy when they are isolated. This hub groups the live risk narratives together so you can compare the event structure before opening one contract.

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