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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Détails originaux du marché en anglais
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved May 14, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Cavaliers vs. Pistons·#2236825

Cavaliers vs Pistons

Yes
Final answerResolved May 14, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5” resolved Yes on May 14, 2026, after $591 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Cavaliers vs. Pistons event family.

ResolvedMay 14, 2026
Volume$591
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 30.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 70-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+227.7%
26¢44¢63¢81¢100¢5/125/125/125/135/135/135/135/145/14Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now41%-19.5%$273.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$234.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
May 14, 2026Yes settlement with $591 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 14, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price30.5% (30.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Same contract familyYes

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $6.6M traded · May 14, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $6.2M traded · May 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo
Spike signal
69 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
9 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle42.5% (42.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score57 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $4.8M traded · May 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $6.1M traded · Feb 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $3.9M traded · May 6, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $2.1M traded · May 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Cavaliers vs. Pistons · $2.1M traded · May 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive