Romania Presidential Election Winner

Final answerResolved May 19, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?” resolved No on May 19, 2025, after $9.9M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Romania Presidential Election Winner event family.

ResolvedMay 19, 2025

Volume$9.9M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $9.9M traded before close.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.5%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

Trending live markets · PoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics87.5%-2.0%$500.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Trending in Politics6.7%-6.3%$304.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics11.45%-1.6%$179.9KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultssource linked

Official National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Open official results

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

National Archives 2024 Electoral College resultsOfficial National Archives Electoral College result page for the 2024 presidential election.

Resolved

May 19, 2025No settlement with $9.9M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 19, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price10.45% (10.45¢)Observed

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