Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Yes

Final answerResolved Jan 22, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.45% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?” resolved Yes on Jan 22, 2025, after $6.1M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days? event family.

ResolvedJan 22, 2025

Volume$6.1M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 66.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 34-point move.

Yes 99.5¢ALL+49.5%

Last observed Yes

99.45% (99.45¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · PoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending in Politics2.25%0.0%$273.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending in Politics7.45%+0.4%$256.1KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending in Politics85.5%+4.0%$244.3KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jan 22, 2025Yes settlement with $6.1M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

January 22, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price66.5% (66.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.