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Detalles originales del mercado en inglés
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 11, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals·#2872884

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Yes
Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)” resolved Yes on Jul 11, 2026, after $42.6K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals event family.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026
Volume$42.6K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 7.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 93-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+78.5%
2¢27¢51¢76¢100¢7/117/117/117/117/117/117/117/11Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now17.5%-1.0%$371.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now38.5%-17.0%$281.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 11, 2026Yes settlement with $42.6K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $189.5K closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price56% (56¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
Same contract familyNo

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $348.3K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $23.0K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
92 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$189.5KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle56% (56¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle7.5% (7.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score44 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$189.5KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same contract familyNo

Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $5.4K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $3.6K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $1.5K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $1.2K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals · $1.1K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive