LYON – Team Liquid

Final answerResolved May 25, 2026

The crowd called it — 97.45% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on May 25, 2026. Event family: LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. $30 traded before settlement. Question: Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?

ResolvedMay 25, 2026

Volume$30

Archive coverageCheckpoints + partial book

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $30 traded before close.

Archive movement view

Observed checkpoints

Stored checkpoints still sketch the close

This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.

Final outcome

Resolved May 25, 2026

Closing spread

0.1¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

First archived

2.55%

Earliest preserved observation

24h before

2.55%

Stored checkpoint one day before settlement

1h before

2.55%

Stored checkpoint one hour before settlement

Last observed

2.55%

Closest archived price before settlement

Settled

Final recorded outcome: No

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 97.45% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Public context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $30 traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 25, 2026No settlement with $30 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

MissingOnly checkpoints or settlement records are available.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty97.45%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $30 traded before close.

Archive movement view

Observed checkpoints

Stored checkpoints still sketch the close

This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.

Final outcome

Resolved May 25, 2026

Closing spread

0.1¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

First archived

2.55%

Earliest preserved observation

24h before

2.55%

Stored checkpoint one day before settlement

1h before

2.55%

Stored checkpoint one hour before settlement

Last observed

2.55%

Closest archived price before settlement

Settled

Final recorded outcome: No

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 97.45% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Public context

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 25, 2026No settlement with $30 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

MissingOnly checkpoints or settlement records are available.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price2.55% (2.55¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty97.45%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Browse the full resolved archive