MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearch

Navigate

Prediction markets, watchlists, and tools

MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearchWatchlist & AlertsHeatmap

CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Track every Polymarket prediction market with live prices, rankings, resolved outcomes, and research.

Trade on Polymarket↗

Markets

  • Rankings
  • Events
  • Topics
  • Ecosystem

Predictions

  • 2028 election odds
  • Bitcoin odds
  • Fed rate odds
  • Trump odds
  • World Cup odds

Resolved

  • Overview
  • Recently resolved
  • High volume
  • Biggest surprises
  • Calibration
  • Monthly archive

Learn

  • Learn hub
  • How markets work
  • How to read odds
  • Is Polymarket accurate?
  • Glossary

Research

  • Research hub
  • Methodology
  • Price discovery
  • Insider trading
  • Brand kit

© 2026 Polyguana. Prediction market intelligence — not investment advice.

Referral disclosure: Polyguana may earn commissions from eligible Polymarket signups and trading activity.

Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Detalles originales del mercado en inglés
Back to the capital map
Livebook updated 1d agoGeopoliticsUS-IranHormuz

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?

This cluster groups 8 linked contracts. The most contested right now is Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?, with No pricing 93%.

Lead conviction
93%-2.9%
No · most contested contract
Open interest
$0
8 linked contracts
24h flow
$0
across the cluster
Turnover
—
idle book
Resolves
in 19d
shared event window
Trade on Polymarket Trade on Polyguana

Lead contract chart

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Probability history

No 93.0¢24H-3.1%
88¢91¢93¢95¢98¢04:4713:0014:1023:1501:4502:5504:45

Contracts inside this event

Every linked contract, ranked lead-first by tradable strength — compare the book before you commit.

Lead contractWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
93% No-2.9%OI$24.7K24h$16.5Kopen →
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
91% No-6.3%OI$15.1K24h$6.6Kopen →
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
68.5% No-3.0%OI$6.7K24h$7.5Kopen →
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
93.65% No-4.5%OI$16.9K24h$1.3Kopen →
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
93.65% No-4.9%OI$7.8K24h$1.2Kopen →
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
97.2% No-1.9%OI$15.8K24h$236open →
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
99.75% NoFlatOI$14.2K24h$1open →
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
99.65% NoFlatOI$12.5K24h$1open →

Keep moving

Geopolitics
World Cup WinnerWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? leads this event, with Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? as the next contract to compare.
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? leads this event, with Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential… as the next contract to compare.
Finance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?Trading has cooled off here. Use the event page to review what resolved and move into similar live events.
Topic lane
PoliticsPolitics events are easiest to read when the cluster stays intact. Start here to compare election, nomination, White House, Congress, and policy storylines before picking one market.
Topic lane
Election oddsThis hub narrows politics down to election-driven clusters, so readers who already know the narrative they care about can reach the tradable markets faster.
Topic lane
GeopoliticsGeopolitics markets get noisy when they are isolated. This hub groups the live risk narratives together so you can compare the event structure before opening one contract.

New to prediction markets?

How to read oddsPolymarket guideFee breakdownTrading strategiesArbitrage strategiesIs Polymarket accurate?