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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Originale englische Marktdetails
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 12, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi·#2893613

Keegan Rice – Kenta Miyoshi

Yes
Final answerResolved Jul 12, 2026

The crowd called it — 74.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Keegan Rice vs. Kenta Miyoshi: Total Sets O/U 2.5” resolved Yes on Jul 12, 2026, after $2 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi event family.

ResolvedJul 12, 2026
Volume$2
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Keegan Rice vs. Kenta Miyoshi: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes74.5% (74.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 39% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 61-point move.

Yes 74.5¢ALL+91.0%
35¢46¢57¢68¢79¢7/127/12Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

74.5% (74.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$342.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-17.0%$328.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.45%-0.2%$162.5KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 12, 2026Yes settlement with $2 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.9¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
36 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price39% (39¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Set Handicap: Miyoshi (-1.5) vs Rice (+1.5)
Same contract familyYes

Set Handicap: Miyoshi (-1.5) vs Rice (+1.5)

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $3 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Match O/U 23.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $1 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
0.9¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
2 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle39% (39¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle74.5% (74.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price74.5% (74.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty74.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score36 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.9¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same contract family
No

Set 1 Winner: Rice vs Miyoshi

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: RiceNo

UAB Blazers vs. Rice

UAB Blazers vs. Rice · $1.4M traded · Nov 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive