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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Originale englische Marktdetails
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 11, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout·#2881549

Kenta Miyoshi – Timo Legout

Yes
Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

A close one — the market was only 50% confident in Yes at the close.

“Set 2 Winner: Miyoshi vs Legout” resolved Yes on Jul 11, 2026, after $0 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout event family.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026
Volume$0
Archive coverageCheckpoints + book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Set 2 Winner: Miyoshi vs Legout
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes50% (50¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $0 traded before close.

Archive movement view

Observed checkpoints

Stored checkpoints still sketch the close

This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.

Final outcome

Yes

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closing spread

0.1¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Closing liquidity

$0

Last preserved book depth

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

0%50%100%

First archived

50%

Earliest preserved observation

24h before

50%

Stored checkpoint one day before settlement

1h before

50%

Stored checkpoint one hour before settlement

Last observed

50%

Closest archived price before settlement

Settled

100%

Final recorded outcome: Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.25%+0.3%$397.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now47%-24.0%$251.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now17.5%-1.0%$233.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 11, 2026Yes settlement with $0 traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout
Same contract familyYes

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $17.7K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Set Handicap: Legout (-1.5) vs Miyoshi (+1.5)

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $3 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
MissingOnly checkpoints or settlement records are available.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle50% (50¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle50% (50¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price50% (50¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same contract family
Yes

Miyoshi vs. Legout: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Miyoshi vs. Legout: Match O/U 23.5

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Kenta Miyoshi vs. Timo Legout: Total Sets O/U 2.5

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Miyoshi vs. Legout: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

ITF Men Laval: Completed Match: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout

ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive