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Originale englische Marktdetails
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 11, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET·#2876134

SOL nach oben oder unten 5 m

Yes
Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

A close one — the market was only 50.5% confident in Yes at the close.

“Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET” resolved Yes on Jul 11, 2026, after $5.2K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026
Volume$5.2K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes50.5% (50.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 50.5¢ALL+0.0%
Yes50.5¢No49.5¢
46¢48¢50¢52¢54¢7/117/11Settled

Last observed Yes

50.5% (50.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now41%-19.5%$273.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$234.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 11, 2026Yes settlement with $5.2K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50.5% (50.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Same contract familyNo

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · $8.8K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · $6.2K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
4 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle50.5% (50.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price50.5% (50.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same contract familyNo

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · $6.1K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · $5.9K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · $5.3K traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · $4.7K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · $4.7K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive