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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Originale englische Marktdetails
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 12, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland World Cup Match?·#2866146

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland World Cup Match?

No
Final answerResolved Jul 12, 2026

The crowd called it — 78.65% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?” resolved No on Jul 12, 2026, after $2.9K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland World Cup Match? event family.

ResolvedJul 12, 2026
Volume$2.9K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Trade the live marketOpen original on Polymarket
Open resolution source
Browse related resolved
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes21.35% (21.35¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 46% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 46-point move.

Yes 21.3¢ALL+33.4%
7¢18¢29¢39¢50¢7/107/107/107/117/117/117/117/127/127/12Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

21.35% (21.35¢)

Settled result

No

This question is still liveThe archive shows how it settled — these markets are trading now.
Will the announcers say "Convert" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Same event14.5%-4.5%$194Trade on Polyguana →Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Same event0.55%+8.0%$192Trade on Polyguana →Will the announcers say "Possession" or "On the Ball" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Same event51.5%—$105Trade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 12, 2026No settlement with $2.9K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 11.5¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price16% (16¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Same entity: ArgentinaNo

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde · $27.7M traded · Jul 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ArgentinaYes

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets · $25.2M traded · Jul 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Argentina
Spike signal
35 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
11.5¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
10 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle14.5% (14.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle21.35% (21.35¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price21.35% (21.35¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty78.65%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score7 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread11.5¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Yes

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Argentina vs. Austria · $21.2M traded · Jun 22, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ArgentinaYes

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Argentina vs. Egypt · $20.8M traded · Jul 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ArgentinaNo

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Argentina vs. Switzerland · $20.3M traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ArgentinaYes

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets · $19.4M traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ArgentinaYes

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets · $18.5M traded · Jul 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive