Movement
How opinion moved into resolution
A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $3.7K traded before close.
Last observed Yes
97.9% (97.9¢)
Settled result
Yes
How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 97.9% confident in Yes just before settlement.
Venues
Venues
Polymarket and Kalshi coverage
Polymarket remains the settlement source for this page. Kalshi appears here only where Vanga has a high-confidence comparable market.
Yassine Smiej
Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized
Yassine Smiej
Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized
Eero Vasa
Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized
Eero Vasa
Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized
Context
Schedule and result context
The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketThe archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
July 1, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC
State
Primary · fresh · fresh cache
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive
Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.
Browse the full resolved archive