Movement
How opinion moved into resolution
The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
52.5% (52.5¢)
Settled result
Yes
How accurate was the crowd? A close one — the market was only 52.5% confident in Yes at the close.
Context
Schedule and result context
The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.
Official U.S. forecast and weather-observation source for weather-resolution context.
Open weather sourceThe archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 100¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
June 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive