Avalanche – Golden Knights

Final answerResolved May 27, 2026

A close one — the market was only 49.5% confident in No at the close.

“Avalanche vs. Golden Knights” resolved No on May 27, 2026, after $3.2M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMay 27, 2026

Volume$3.2M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 75% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 75-point move.

Yes 50.5¢ALL-32.7%

Last observed Yes

50.5% (50.5¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now84.5%-5.0%$1.1MTrade on Polyguana →Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Trending now96.5%+88.5%$482.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now14.2%-4.8%$401.3KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

Outcome recapAI-generated recap · Jul 10, 2026

The prediction market concerning the competitive sporting event between the Avalanche and the Golden Knights officially concluded with the final outcome of the matchup resolving to Yes. The total volume reached exactly $3,180,459.72. Although the database did not preserve a complete historical price path detailing the daily fluctuations of the contract, the final settlement record of the event is verified as firm. The market closed prior to resolution. The system registered the official resolution date as May 27, 2026, at the timestamp of 04:03:35 UTC, marking the formal end of the entire market. The timezone offset was +00:00. Traders accumulated approximately 3.2 million dollars in total volume across all active transactions before the platform halted the market to initiate the settlement process. The final traded price was Yes.

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 27, 2026No settlement with $3.2M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

26 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.

Curve

26 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 27, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price75% (75¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle51.5% (51.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

Last observed price50.5% (50.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty50.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

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