Outcome: No on Apr 20, 2026. Event family: Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia). $41.4K traded before settlement. Question: Will Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Resolved
Apr 20, 2026
Volume
$41.4K
Archive coverage
Checkpoints
Movement
This market settled No, but only the final settlement record survived in the archive.
Archive movement view
External pre-settlement price history for this market is no longer recoverable, so the page shows the final settlement state with an explicit archive gap instead of pretending a curve exists.
Settled
0%
Final recorded outcome: No
Evidence
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Polyguana resolved-market archive
Last refreshed
April 20, 2026 at 4:58 AM UTC
Ranking logic
/de/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Closing spread
0.1¢
Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Close certainty
100%
How one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Resolution source
Polymarket settlement record
No external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
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Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia) · $55.2K traded · Apr 20, 2026
Open resolved pageSanta Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia) · $27.6K traded · Apr 20, 2026
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Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff? · $1.2M traded · Aug 19, 2025
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Bolivia Presidential Election 1st round winner? · $990.3K traded · Aug 20, 2025
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