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Original English market details
Resolved answerSanta Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)Market #1228216

Will Miguel Cadima win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Final answerNo

Outcome: No on Apr 20, 2026. Event family: Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia). $27.6K traded before settlement. Question: Will Miguel Cadima win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Resolved

Apr 20, 2026

Volume

$27.6K

Archive coverage

Checkpoints

Open original market
Browse related resolved
Will Miguel Cadima win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

This market settled No, but only the final settlement record survived in the archive.

Archive movement view

Only the settlement record survived

External pre-settlement price history for this market is no longer recoverable, so the page shows the final settlement state with an explicit archive gap instead of pretending a curve exists.

0%50%100%

Settled

0%

Final recorded outcome: No

AnswerMovementEvidenceContinue

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Polyguana resolved-market archive

Last refreshed

April 20, 2026 at 4:58 AM UTC

Ranking logic

/de/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Closing spread

0.1¢

Observed

Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Close certainty

100%

Observed

How one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Stored note

No external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Same eventYes

Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia) · $55.2K traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Will Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Same eventNo

Will Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia) · $41.4K traded · Apr 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Same entity: BoliviaNo

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Bolivia Presidential Election · $7.3M traded · Oct 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Same entity: BoliviaNo

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Bolivia Presidential Election · $6.9M traded · Oct 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Same entity: BoliviaNo

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Bolivia Presidential Election · $1.2M traded · Oct 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?
Same entity: BoliviaNo

Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Bolivia’s presidential runoff? · $1.2M traded · Aug 19, 2025

Open resolved page
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Same entity: BoliviaNo

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Bolivia Presidential Election 1st round winner? · $990.3K traded · Aug 20, 2025

Open resolved page