Yes — Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 11? (Jul 11, 2026)

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 11?

Yes

Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 11?” resolved Yes on Jul 11, 2026, after $192.8K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Bitcoin above ___ on July 11? event family.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026

Volume$192.8K

Archive coverageCurve + book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 72% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 28-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+38.8%

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$344.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-9.0%$338.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now79.5%+1.0%$170.3KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jul 11, 2026Yes settlement with $192.8K traded before close.

Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $464.8K closing liquidity.

Spike signal

28 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Liquidity

$464.8KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.

Curve

36 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 4:20 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price72% (72¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.

24h before settle99.45% (99.45¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.

1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.

Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.

Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.

Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.

Closing book

Closing liquidity$464.8KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.

Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Settlement

Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source

Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

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