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Kristi Noem wird 2026 aus dem Amt entfernt?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $20.2K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Last refreshed: July 5, 2026 at 5:39 AM UTC

Originale Details
Back to markets
GeneralLive oddsResolves Dec 31, 2026
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem wird 2026 aus dem Amt entfernt?

12%
chanceUnlikely
▲Yes11.85¢
▼No88.15¢

Probability over time

Polling
Quiet$20.2K in the order book

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwis…

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Bet Yes11.85¢Bet No88.15¢
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Quality42/100Fair
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$8.1KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$20.2Kbook depth