Outcome: Yes on Apr 4, 2026. Event family: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels. $1.1M traded before settlement. Question: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels.
Resolved
Apr 4, 2026
Volume
$1.1M
Archive coverage
Checkpoints
Movement
Archived prices moved from 58.5% at the first stored observation to 99.95% just before settlement. That closing move registered a 41-point swing against the stored anchor.
Archive movement view
This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.
First archived
58.5%
Earliest preserved observation
24h before
58.5%
Stored checkpoint one day before settlement
1h before
99.95%
Stored checkpoint one hour before settlement
Last observed
99.95%
Closest archived price before settlement
Settled
100%
Final recorded outcome: Yes
Evidence
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Polyguana resolved-market archive
Last refreshed
April 3, 2026 at 4:15 PM UTC
Ranking logic
/es/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
First archived price
58.5% (58.5¢)
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle
58.5% (58.5¢)
Checkpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle
99.95% (99.95¢)
Checkpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price
99.95% (99.95¢)
Closest archived market price before settlement.
Closing liquidity
$1.3M
Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread
0.1¢
Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Close certainty
99.95%
How one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score
41 pts
Absolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Resolution source
Polymarket settlement record
No external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Continue
Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.
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