Outcome: Yes on Apr 2, 2026. Event family: Kings vs. Raptors. $3.0M traded before settlement. Question: Kings vs. Raptors.
Resolved
Apr 2, 2026
Volume
$3.0M
Archive coverage
Checkpoints
Evidence
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Polyguana resolved-market archive
Last refreshed
March 31, 2026 at 2:15 PM UTC
Ranking logic
/es/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
First archived price
13.5% (13.5¢)
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
Continue
Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.
Movement
Archived prices moved from 13.5% at the first stored observation to 99.95% just before settlement. That closing move registered a 87-point swing against the stored anchor.
Archive movement view
This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.
First archived
13.5%
Earliest preserved observation
24h before
12.5%
Stored checkpoint one day before settlement
1h before
99.95%
Stored checkpoint one hour before settlement
Last observed
99.95%
Closest archived price before settlement
Settled
100%
Final recorded outcome: Yes
24h before settle
12.5% (12.5¢)
Checkpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle
99.95% (99.95¢)
Checkpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price
99.95% (99.95¢)
Closest archived market price before settlement.
Closing liquidity
$942.5K
Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread
0.1¢
Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Close certainty
99.95%
How one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score
87 pts
Absolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Resolution source
Polymarket settlement record
No external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Heat vs. Kings · $1.2M traded · Jan 7, 2025
